20 Jobs That Will Not Exist in 20 Years

What education should you get to best position yourself for the coming decades? What line of work should you be in, and which professions have no future and will disappear? Here is a list of 20 professions that will most likely be obsolete, or at the very least out-of-date, by 2030.

Particularly observant readers will note that this is an extension of my previous article 12 Jobs That Will Not Exist in 20-30 years.

1. Actor: Actors in film and television will be replaced by completely realistic animations. Stage actors will of course exist for a while longer, and will probably be performing in many parts of the world simultaneously, through the anticipated widespread use of holograms.

2. Cashier: Many grocery stores already have self-operated check stands, but that’s just a tradeoff between a cashier doing the job and you doing it yourself, making your groceries cheaper. In the future, check stands will be fully automated. Just leave your groceries on the belt and let the robot tally it up – many times faster than a human ever could. As a consequence, lines will be much less of a nuisance, as they become increasingly non-existent.

3. Construction worker: Construction work can be hazardous, so why should humans risk their lives doing it? Insurance companies certainly won’t cover a construction firm that that takes such unnecessary risks. Robotics are becoming increasingly sophisticated, and they’ll be constructing buildings cheaper, and far more rapidly than humans.

4. Soldier: Compared to sophisticated robots, humans are relatively susceptible to mental deficiencies such as nervousness, pride, stupidity, miscalculation, and slow reaction time. In other words: computers can do the same job more efficiently, without risking human life, and without apprehension.

5. Security guard: Buy a strong, obedient robot that can see in the dark, never falls asleep on duty, and won’t accept bribes, to protect your home or your business.

6. Car mechanic: Cars will become too technically complex to repair for humans. Computers and robots will take care of it. Eventually, cars will fix themselves. They've already started driving themselves.

7. Garbage collector: Instead of two slow, weak and unhappy guys tossing garbage into the back of the truck, a single fast, strong and highly "motivated" robot will complete the process in five seconds.
 
8. Assembly line worker: Automakers, textile producers and furniture factories (to mention some industries) around the world are cutting costs by reducing their number of salary, pension and insurance absorbing employees, and shifting focus to mechanical solutions.

9. Toll booth operator: Many developed countries have already successfully implemented moeny-and-time saving automatic toll booths with video detection and post payment/subscriptions.

10. Prostitute: The completely completely lifelike robot girlfriends will obviate the demand for carnal services in the future.

11.Nature photographer: Closeups from inside the lion's cave and year-long stakeouts without the need for food or shelter are the advantages I can see robots having, off the top of my head.

12. Surgeon: Why let a nervous, shaky doctor with poor eyesight cut you with knives and fool around inside of you, when a steady handed, ice cool and accurate robot can do it instead? Medical malpractice lawsuits cost the American health providers some $30 billion each year. This will end. 

13. Pilot: Computerized pilots are not like regular pilots in that they are not prone to human error, i.e. they won't spill coffee on the instrument panels in the cockpit or miscalculate their landing angle. Nor do they need good visibility to fly, as their millimeter-accurate GPS and sensor systems will guide them blindly to their destination. Obviously, they will have to prove their merit before plane passengers, and by extension airlines, can trust them.

14. Film processor: Even today it seems absurd to have a full time employee engaged in nothing but changing film, and most modern movie theaters are rapidly moving away from this.

15. Librarian: Libraries will soon look very different. Why have a library containing 50,000 paper made books when you can have 50 million of them in virtual form, which you can access with your library card and download to your kindle or iPad. There will not be any need for humans to process the lending of books.

16. Call center operator: By 2029, when computers are scheduled to match human intelligence, a microchip will call your house and argue that you do in fact need flood insurance.

17. News anchor: No mispronunciations, no misunderstandings, no Freudian slips, just a perfectly articulate teleprompter with a (beautiful) face.

18. Mailman: Who sends snail-mail these days? Mostly nostalgic pen pals. While we may have a small segment left of the paper mail industry, most of the things we use the mail for either is transitioning to or has already moved completely online: Bills, public notices, and business-letters. Although, we’ll still need package delivery (at least until nanotechnology enables us to send and download material objects like we send files today, in 30-40 years.)

19. Waiters: Robots don't have an attitude, won't spit in your food, and don't need tips. They can work tirelessly around the clock, be ultra-efficient and be called upon by clicking a button in your menu.

20. Receptionist: Artificial intelligence and robotics sciences are approaching a point where the robots we can make will match humans in terms of intelligence. These robots will be our faithful servants who perform the menial tasks, so humans can focus on developing themselves.


Extra - Jobs that will be outsourced to countries with inexpensive labor. 
Yes, these jobs will still exist, but will be performed by personnel in countries that can offer inexpensive, skilled labor.

Accountant
Auditor
Wed designer
Engineer
Customer service
Many high-tech jobs


Emily, in the movie below, is a good example of an accomplished animated actress. 

What jobs do you think will disappear? You can leave a comment below.

Comments

[Håvard Ø]

so what are we supposed to do then? seems like only nurses will be in demand..

[Christian H Nesheim]

I'm curious: Why do you say nurses in particular?

[Håvard Ø]

because we will live longer (or forever). consequently there will be more old people in the end than working people! and these old people will demand more and more health care services, hence the nurses, got it?

[Christian H Nesheim]

But that's just it: We'll live longer, which means the onset of diseases will be postponed. The degeneration of the cells in our bodies will be delayed (or even eliminated completely). People often say they don't want to live to be several hundred because they imagine they'd be old and decrepit people for most of those extra years. That's the fundamental flaw in it. We'll live longer, but also remain "young" for longer.

I personally think we'll need much fewer nurses and doctors in the future. If your organs fail, replace them. If your skin gets wrinkly, send in nanobots to renew the tissue. Maintenance of our bodies will be more frequent and cheap. Besides, we'll soon be able to replace nurses with robots. Primitive robots are already doing some of the nurses' previous job of carrying pills to patients in hospitals around the world.

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[Phyllis Cooper]

I advise a student newspaper at A.C. Reynolds High School in Asheville, NC. We are doing an article on jobs of the future and would like to use your list of 20 jobs that will not exist in 20 years. We will happily credit this website for the list.

May we use the list?

Phyllis Cooper, adviser

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