Flying Delivery Drone Network as a Test-bed for Flying Human Transport Networks.

Let’s face it, we’re not going to just start off with computers flying humans around right away. The first space shuttles were, after all, unmanned for good reasons. We have to learn to crawl before we can learn to walk, lest we trip and smash our head against the pavement. Delivery of lighter objects than humans is a good place to start.

Sure, we do have a flying car already, notably the Terrafugia Transition, but it’s really more of a driving plane. It’s not the VTOL we’ve dreamed of for decades. Developing a well functioning delivery drone network will pave the way for confidence in a practical network of drones delivering people. Humans have notoriously poor navigation skills in three-dimensional environments, so unmanned aerial vehicles seem a safer option than those prone to human error.

This revolution will start, or be catalyzed, when companies such as FedEx and UPS adopt drones to their fleets. Renowned futurist Thomas Frey gives this a time frame of 10-15 years. It’s likely to follow this pattern: Drones start by delivering packages, shortly after which they become so cheap that they can deliver Pizza, whereupon the technology evolves to a stage where it is both cheap and safe enough to transport humans. After that, only our imagination can limit drones’ functionality, and they could be involved in search and rescue missions (fitted with radars/heat sensors etc), going back home to pick up the camera you forgot to bring on your trip or spying on spouses that always work late.

Flying drones are already gaining popularity for use with the military as well as certain police jurisdictions (the technology’s potential for impingement on individual liberty is certainly a cause for caution), and as with so many successful projects piloted by the Pentagon, they have a tendency to reach the mainstream some years later. Like the internet, for example.

50 years from now, the ground in urban areas may be reserved mainly for pedestrians, and garages could be moved to our rooftops and include small helipads. These drones will likely become on-demand vehicles, like taxis, that can be requested from your mobile device, enabling more efficient use of these vehicles. Cars of today are typically in use only for a couple of hours each day, whereas the drones can be employed for 18-20 hours each day. Since they’re rarely stationery, this will greatly alleviate existing parking facilities.

Watch the video below to see Yale’s prototype of a grabbing, flying drone. Obviously, this technology is still in its infancy, but it shows great promise.

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